Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 13.331387 15.606258 18.089764 20.994214 24.289228 27.902489 32.155576
2025-03-09 9.260431 12.287467 15.945702 20.651746 26.500337 33.482032 42.394042
2025-03-16 6.498619 9.587838 13.650542 19.295141 26.830898 36.430062 49.448207
2025-03-23 5.355300 8.615117 13.203402 19.975212 29.526560 42.302043 60.420681
2025-03-30 4.604040 7.991554 13.048739 20.906167 32.509444 48.665341 72.425030
2025-04-06 3.699628 6.933901 12.054196 20.420365 33.333941 52.013591 80.437172
2025-04-13 2.892102 5.856211 10.830957 19.369366 33.122381 53.750469 86.159613
2025-04-20 2.621711 5.644041 10.953770 20.419633 36.168721 60.443309 99.501511
2025-04-27 2.438095 5.551125 11.251282 21.763855 39.762808 68.175364 114.848666
2025-05-04 2.145448 5.188758 11.012828 22.144964 41.782742 73.556606 126.873031
2025-05-11 1.839430 4.736307 10.537325 22.034828 42.934117 77.588567 136.971292
2025-05-18 1.546516 4.249262 9.919008 21.576250 43.410944 80.507752 145.402207
2025-05-25 1.298917 3.828711 9.405981 21.325556 44.360945 84.493905 156.203262
2025-06-01 1.089309 3.452708 8.934141 21.114217 45.397100 88.764910 167.878192
2025-06-08 0.836941 2.895219 7.965114 19.755682 44.122143 88.889894 172.501654
2025-06-15 0.754905 2.778535 7.977486 20.454284 46.879131 96.368232 190.270884
2025-06-22 0.696108 2.713764 8.101445 21.405183 50.209804 105.087385 210.687535
2025-06-29 0.574992 2.421258 7.609968 20.909618 50.540744 108.250756 221.316079
2025-07-06 0.451593 2.076649 6.914025 19.837036 49.546071 108.810583 227.198037
2025-07-13 0.425468 2.062800 7.105808 20.908909 53.224190 118.584172 250.609912
2025-07-20 0.410538 2.086548 7.406555 22.280545 57.659207 130.076358 277.770107
2025-07-27 0.366218 1.982430 7.321198 22.669381 59.937213 137.413013 297.395913
2025-08-03 0.314170 1.827353 7.054970 22.557014 61.065965 142.495229 312.935370